The M2 money supply is a broad indicator of liquidity, accounting for US dollar-adjusted liquidity from major economies such as the United States, the eurozone, Japan, the UK, and Canada. An increase in M2 signifies increased circulation of money in the economy, inclusive of bank accounts, checking deposits, and other liquid assets. This surge in liquidity can lead to an influx of capital into riskier assets, such as cryptocurrencies.

Historically, Bitcoin’s price trajectory has shown a lagged response to global and US M2 supply changes, typically within a 3–6 month window, particularly during liquidity shifts. In certain instances, like the April 2025 surge above $100,000, the delay was as short as 1–2 weeks.

According to Crypto Auris, a noted analyst, as the global money supply expands, Bitcoin’s next milestone is poised at ~$170K. Analysts across the board predict the BTC price to fall within the $150,000-200,000 range by the end of 2025, largely driven by increased institutional investments through ETFs and corporations.

The upsurge in Bitcoin demand is juxtaposed with a declining US dollar. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has dipped by 10.8% in the first half of 2025, marking its worst performance since 1973. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has appreciated by 13.25% during the same period, signifying an inverse correlation with the dollar. Prolonged dollar weakness could potentially fuel a Bitcoin rally beyond its typical cycle behaviour.

This article is intended for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or recommendations. It is imperative for readers to conduct their own thorough research before making any investment or trading decisions.

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The Bitcoin price saw some profit booking at around $105,819, hinting at the continued activity of bears at these levels. The week began on a somewhat cautious note for Bitcoin, with prices falling below $103,000. However, the SPX and DXY saw a significant rise following the US-China trade announcement. Could this be a sign of other assets trying to catch up with Bitcoin?

Despite the uncertainty, Bitcoin enthusiasts are still adding more to their wallets. The latest addition came from Michael Saylor’s Strategy, acquiring 13,390 Bitcoin at an average price of $99,856 between May 5 and May 11. This has increased the firm’s Bitcoin holdings to 568,840.

As for the altcoins, the S&P 500 Index, US Dollar Index, Ethereum, XRP, BNB, Solana, Dogecoin, Cardano, and Sui have shown interesting trends. Let’s take a closer look at their charts to understand the support levels to watch out for.

The SPX gapped up sharply on May 12, crossing the overhead resistance at 5,800. The bears will need to fiercely defend the 5,800 level and quickly pull the price beneath the 20-day exponential moving average (5,570) to prevent an upside. Otherwise, the index might continue its upward journey towards the 6,000 level and possibly retest the all-time high at 6,147.

Bitcoin’s price has turned down from $105,819, indicating that the bears are defending the $107,000 to $109,588 zone. If the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it signals profit booking at higher levels, which could lead to a fall to $93,000 and then to the 50-day SMA ($89,302).

Ethereum, on the other hand, is trying to sustain the price above $2,550. However, if the price skids below $2,435, the ETHUSDT pair may fall to $2,320. On the contrary, if the price turns down and breaks below $2,320, it suggests profit booking, and the pair may drop to $2,111.

Similar trends can be seen with other altcoins like XRP, BNB, Solana, Dogecoin, Cardano, and Sui. Each of these cryptocurrencies has its unique support levels and resistance that traders need to watch out for.

This article is not meant to serve as investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

The post Cryptocurrency Forecast: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, XRP, BNB, SOL, DOGE, ADA, SUI – 12th May Predictions appeared first on Crypto Market Insights: Dive In with CryptoUpdate.io.

He positioned Bitcoin as a high-risk game against central banks, offering a cautiously optimistic perspective despite these alarming indicators. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the dollar against other currencies, fell to a four-month low of 103.85 on March 10, as reported by Market Watch.

According to Coutts, US Treasuries operate as worldwide collateral and an increase in Treasury volatility prompts collateral haircuts, thus squeezing liquidity. The MOVE Index, a measure of predicted volatility in the US Treasury bond market, is currently steady but on the rise, he noted.

“Given the fast drop of the dollar in March, one would anticipate volatility to shrink, or if not, for the dollar to bounce back,” which would be a bearish sign, he mentioned. Increased Treasury volatility could result in tighter liquidity conditions, which may force central banks to step in in ways that could ultimately favor Bitcoin, he proposed.

In contrast, corporate bond spreads have been consistently widening over the past three weeks, and major corporate bond spread reversals have historically occurred alongside Bitcoin price peaks, according to Coutts. While these indicators present a somewhat negative image for Bitcoin, the depreciation of the dollar – one of the largest in 12 years this month – remains the main factor in his analysis.

On March 6, Bravos Research suggested that a falling DXY could significantly boost risk-prone assets like stocks and crypto. Coutts also noted other positive elements, such as the global competition for strategic Bitcoin reserves or accumulation through mining, Michael Saylor’s Strategy planning to add another 100,000 to 200,000 coins to its Bitcoin treasury this year, a possible doubling of spot ETF positions, and increased liquidity.

“Consider Bitcoin as a high-risk game against the central planners. With their options diminishing – and assuming HODLers stay unleveraged— the odds are increasingly leaning towards the Bitcoin holder,” he concluded.

The post US Dollar’s Dip Bolsters Bitcoin, Yet Some Indicators Stir Concern: Expert Analysis appeared first on Crypto Market Insights: Dive In with CryptoUpdate.io.