What is Hyperliquid’s ‘Outcomes’ Feature?

Hyperliquid’s ‘Outcomes’ feature introduces a novel approach to prediction markets. This feature, part of the HIP-4 upgrade, offers fully collateralized contracts similar to binary options but without leverage or margin calls. This innovative tool aims to meet the rising demand for safer trading products.

The new feature will operate using Hyperliquid’s USDH stablecoin and the HyperCore execution engine. This strategic move comes as prediction markets witness growing user interest, with competitors such as Coinbase and Gemini entering the space.

Jupiter’s Integration with Polymarket

In a related development, Jupiter, a Solana-based DEX aggregator, has integrated Polymarket. This integration allows users to access onchain prediction markets directly from the DEX aggregator, enhancing Solana’s position as a hub for event-driven trading.

Polymarket is already a prominent player in prediction markets, with significant volumes seen in macroeconomic, political, and cultural events. Despite competition from platforms like Kalshi, Polymarket’s activity continues to grow, evidencing the mounting interest in prediction markets.

Market Impact and Strategic Developments

These developments indicate a broader market trend towards integrating prediction markets into existing crypto infrastructures. Japan’s Nomura Holdings has reduced its crypto exposure due to recent losses, yet remains committed to the digital asset sector, highlighting the ongoing volatility in the market.

Meanwhile, global crypto investment products experienced $1.7 billion in outflows recently, reflecting shifting investor sentiment. As these changes unfold, platforms like Hyperliquid and Jupiter are poised to capitalize on the evolving landscape.

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Hyperliquid Supply Strategy Boosts Market Position

Hyperliquid’s recent price surge is largely driven by a critical update in its token supply schedule. The project significantly reduced its February token unlock from 1.2 million HYPE tokens to only 140,000, an impressive 90% cut. This strategic decision has effectively mitigated immediate selling pressures, offering traders a more secure investment environment.

The impact of this supply adjustment is evident as HYPE’s daily trading volume surged past $50 million, a substantial increase from earlier averages of under $30 million. This uptick in activity underscores the market’s positive response to the supply revision, indicating that the rally is driven by asset-specific confidence.

Jupiter Ecosystem Engagement Fuels Price Growth

Meanwhile, Jupiter price has been positively influenced by a surge in ecosystem activity. The announcement of a 200 million token airdrop has acted as a catalyst for participation, drawing substantial attention and engagement within the Solana ecosystem. Wallet activity has increased by 15–20%, reflecting genuine usage rather than mere speculation.

Social media discussions around Jupiter have also intensified, placing it among the most talked-about tokens in recent weeks. This combination of increased participation and sustained attention has helped maintain robust support for JUP, even as the overall market sentiment remains cautious.

Market Outlook and Strategic Insights

As we move into February, both Hyperliquid and Jupiter stand out as strong contenders in a volatile market. The strategic reduction of HYPE’s token supply and Jupiter’s ecosystem-driven growth highlight the importance of solid fundamentals and active community engagement. These elements may continue to drive capital allocation towards these tokens, even under challenging market conditions.

Expert Insight: According to Kamran Asghar, reducing token unlocks not only limits immediate selling pressure but also stabilizes prices in the short term. For Jupiter, large airdrops, while potentially diluting holdings, can enhance network participation and community strength if users engage rather than sell immediately.

Investors should remain vigilant, monitoring technical levels and on-chain metrics closely, as both tokens are still susceptible to market volatility and broader economic influences.

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The integration of Hyperliquid HIP-3 will not bring immediate changes for current users. However, it will provide deployers who meet specific on-chain requirements with the ability to launch perpetual futures markets (perps) once they are prepared. This marks a significant milestone in the journey towards fully decentralizing the perpetual listing process.

Understanding the Hyperliquid HIP-3 Upgrade

According to a document previously released by the project, Hyperliquid HIP-3 supports builder-deployed perpetuals. This development is crucial for achieving a decentralized architecture, where deployers can independently create and manage a perp decentralized exchange (DEX) on HyperCore. To facilitate this process, deployers must stake 500,000 HYPE tokens.

In addition to decentralization, the upgrade introduces essential safeguards. Features such as validator slashing and open interest caps have been integrated with HyperEVM for smart contracts and governance, ensuring a secure trading environment. These measures are designed to maintain stability and confidence in the system.

Market Impact of Hyperliquid HIP-3

The anticipation surrounding the Hyperliquid HIP-3 upgrade has positively influenced the market. The price of HYPE, the native token, surged by 11% over the past 24 hours, reaching approximately $42. This price increase reflects growing investor confidence and market capitalization, which currently stands around $11.4 billion.

Such advancements underscore the potential of Hyperliquid HIP-3 to reshape the landscape of perpetual futures markets. By enabling permissionless market creation, the upgrade fosters innovation and competition, paving the way for more robust and diverse trading platforms.

Disclaimer: The Block, an independent media outlet, provides this information for educational purposes only. It should not be considered legal, tax, investment, financial, or other professional advice. As of November 2023, Foresight Ventures is a majority investor in The Block. The Block remains committed to delivering unbiased, impactful crypto industry news.

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Hyperliquid Whale’s Strategic Moves

The whale initially made headlines with a $150 million profit from well-timed short positions. Now, they are back with a new strategy, placing over $16 million into a 10x leveraged short bet on Bitcoin. This trade carries a notional value of over $160 million, showcasing the trader’s confidence and understanding of market dynamics. According to HypurrScan, the whale currently enjoys an unrealized profit exceeding $4 million, with a liquidation price set at $123,500. This is below Bitcoin’s recent all-time high of $126,080.

Bitcoin Short Bets: A Bold Move

The decision to short Bitcoin is not unprecedented but remains a bold move, especially considering the market’s volatility. The trader initially entered the market at a Bitcoin price of $117,370, while the cryptocurrency is now trading around $114,430. This move reflects a calculated risk, leveraging market movements for potential gains.

Previously, the trader capitalized on market reactions following geopolitical news, notably President Trump’s tariff announcements. Such events often lead to market fluctuations, providing opportunities for savvy traders. The Hyperliquid whale’s actions during these times have been scrutinized by both analysts and investors, eager to understand the strategies behind such profitable trades.

The Intrigue Behind the Trades

Onchain analysis reveals intriguing connections. There’s speculation involving Garrett Jin, a co-founder of the now-defunct BitForex exchange, which ceased operations in early 2024. Analysts discovered a possible link through blockchain records, suggesting that the whale’s activities might be intertwined with Jin’s financial maneuvers.

Notably, a wallet associated with Jin had transactions with the whale’s addresses, leading to further speculation. While some analysts, like Eye, propose potential connections, others, such as ZachXBT, remain skeptical, highlighting the need for more concrete evidence.

This narrative adds a layer of mystery to the Hyperliquid whale’s trades, fueling conversations about insider knowledge and market manipulation. As the crypto market evolves, such stories emphasize the need for transparency and regulatory oversight.

Market Reactions and Future Implications

The Hyperliquid whale’s actions have undoubtedly impacted market sentiment. As traders worldwide analyze these moves, questions arise about the implications for Bitcoin’s price trajectory and the broader crypto landscape. With significant profits on the line, the community remains vigilant, watching for any shifts in the whale’s strategy.

As cryptocurrency continues to be a dynamic and unpredictable domain, traders like the Hyperliquid whale exemplify both the opportunities and challenges inherent in the market. Their bold decisions and the subsequent market reactions will likely serve as case studies for future crypto enthusiasts and analysts alike.

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Huang’s account, identified as “0x020c,” is nearing a substantial floating loss on the decentralized exchange (DEX) Hyperliquid. This dramatic turn of events involves a 5x leveraged long position, primarily focused on the Plasma (XPL) token, which had previously yielded significant gains. According to Hyperdash blockchain data, this position is now teetering on a liquidation threshold of $0.5366.

Hyperliquid Loss: A Massive Hit

Despite the steep decline in value, Huang has chosen to maintain his trades. The decision has already cost him over $115,000 in funding fees. Additionally, Huang is managing a 15x leveraged Ether (ETH) position, with funding costs of $1.2 million, currently reflecting around $534,000 in unrealized profit.

The floating loss marks a significant hit for the investor, whose account had previously amassed over $44 million in profit. According to blockchain data platform OnChain Lens, this sudden downturn was highlighted in a recent X post.

Despite Losses, Profits Persist

Even with this losing position, Huang’s account remains in the black, showing a combined profit and loss (PnL) of over $11.6 million. This development follows Huang’s exit from a $25 million Hyperliquid (HYPE) position, resulting in a $4.45 million loss on September 29.

The exit was prompted by a warning from BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes’ family office fund, Maelstrom, about approaching HYPE token unlocks. These unlocks, set to commence on November 29, represent the token’s “first true test” under a 24-month vesting schedule.

Whales Bet on Plasma’s Recovery

Amidst Huang’s Hyperliquid loss, other major investors, or “whales,” are banking on a Plasma token price resurgence. Over the past week, whale wallets have increased their XPL token holdings by more than $1.16 million across 226 wallets. During the same period, $3.83 million worth of XPL tokens have exited exchanges, as reported by crypto intelligence platform Nansen.

One whale wallet, “0xd80D,” acquired $31 million worth of XPL tokens on Hyperliquid, amassing a total of over $40.2 million in XPL holdings, according to Lookonchain’s blockchain data.

However, Plasma’s vesting schedule could unleash $90 million worth of XPL tokens on October 25, potentially increasing selling pressure. This event is slated to be the month’s third-largest token unlock by value, according to CryptoRank data.

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First off, Ethereum (ETH) ended the week with an impressive rally, boasting double-digit gains of 22%. As of the time of writing, the digital currency has breached the $3,600 mark, with a clear eye on the $4,000 landmark. The current buying pressure has been too strong for any significant pullback, and it’s likely that the $4,000 target will be hit before sellers start to push back. Looking ahead, a real test for ETH will be its ability to surpass and consolidate the $4,000 mark as a support level.

Next, Ripple (XRP) managed to hit a new all-time high just above $3.6, following a 37% rally last week. This remarkable performance comes after a lengthy consolidation period around the $2 mark. With XRP just shy of entering price discovery, the battle between buyers and sellers will intensify as the cryptocurrency seeks a new price balance. The previous resistance level at $3 is likely to become a support level moving forward. In the coming days, if buyers maintain their momentum, the price of XRP may strive to reach the $4 mark.

Cardano (ADA) finally tested the $0.90 resistance after an impressive 26% rally this week. With the bulls leading the charge, it’s possible that ADA will reclaim the $1 price level in the near term. While sellers are currently resisting at $0.90, their efforts are likely to be short-lived given the strong bullish momentum in the market. Once ADA clears this resistance level, further upward movement is expected. ADA’s rally could continue to higher levels once it secures $1 as a support level.

Solana (SOL) reached the $186 resistance level this week after a 12% rally. While this key level may induce some selling pressure, buyers are poised to flip this resistance into support. If SOL breaks past $186, it’s got a clear run towards $200 – a level that could trigger a Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO) effect among investors and bring more attention back to Solana.

Lastly, HYPE has experienced a weekly decline of 9% while other market leaders are achieving double-digit gains. This drop could signal a shift of investor interest from HYPE to other ecosystems like Ethereum. This could push HYPE into a consolidation phase below $50. However, should sellers continue to exert pressure, HYPE can rely on strong support levels at $42 and $36.

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The primary factor behind this surge is the growing dominance of Hyperliquid over its CEX rivals. In June 2025, Hyperliquid oversaw more than $210 billion in perpetuals volume, which actually marks a ~15% decrease from the previous month. However, Binance’s perpetuals volume fell by ~20% in the same period.

Hyperliquid’s relative resilience has led to a new peak in the Hyperliquid-to-Binance ratio, which currently sits at 11.3%, up from 10.5% last month. Moreover, Hyperliquid recaptured a significant portion of its perp DEX market share this month. At the end of May, Hyperliquid held a 69.77% market share. Now, a month later, it commands an impressive 75%.

Aside from Hyperliquid, APX Finance has also played a role in the growing DEX-to-CEX futures trade volume this month. In June, APX Finance reported over $34 billion in volume, a ~350% increase month-over-month. This follows a 120% monthly rise in the previous month, where APX Finance’s volume grew from $3.4 billion in April to $7.51 billion in May.

The surge in APX Finance’s volumes is likely due to the combined effect of its “stage 1 points trading-mining” incentive program that ran from April 10 to June 22, and the introduction of its market maker incentive program on June 6. Notably, APX Finance merged with Astherus in March 2025 to form Aster.

This article is a summary of The Block’s Data & Insights newsletter, where you can delve into the numbers behind the most compelling industry trends.

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Bitcoin is struggling just above $108,000. However, the price has been kept above $105,000 by bullish traders who anticipate further upward movement. Analysts, including BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes, are optimistic about BTC reaching new highs due to easing Middle East tensions and new stablecoin regulations in the U.S.

Positive expectations are not limited to Bitcoin. Some analysts predict ETH will reach a new high during this cycle and other altcoins may follow suit. Alphractal’s CEO Joao Wedson believes that the recent Bitcoin dominance could be an excellent opportunity to accumulate altcoins while they are still lagging.

Bitcoin’s relief rally faces resistance, suggesting a potential lower high formation. However, if the price surpasses the downtrend line, it could skyrocket to around $150,492. On the other hand, sellers might attempt to pull the price below the moving averages, which could extend BTC’s stay within the descending triangle.

Ether maintains pressure, clinging to the 20-day EMA. If buyers can break through the 50-day SMA, ETH could climb to the resistance zone between $2,738 and $2,879. Conversely, if the price sharply decreases from the 50-day SMA, it suggests that higher levels are attracting sellers, potentially leading to a decline to the breakout level of $2,111.

Other altcoins like XRP, BNB, SOL, DOGE, ADA, HYPE, BCH, and LINK have their own unique market patterns and price predictions, which range from bearish to bullish. These forecasts are based on technical analysis and market trends. As always, every investment and trading decision involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research before making a decision.

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Bitcoin’s value is now hovering around $103,000, with many investors looking for signs of future support. Despite global market uncertainty, some altcoins are finding buyers on dips. After news of Israel’s airstrikes on Iran, Bitcoin dropped below $103,000, but subsequent buying pushed the price back towards $106,000. The overall sentiment is that Bitcoin’s bottom isn’t likely to drop significantly, but substantial upward price discovery may not occur until the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting.

As for Ethereum, it declined from $2,879 and dipped below the 20-day EMA ($2,580) on Friday, implying a rejection of the breakout above $2,738. XRP, on the other hand, broke above its moving averages on Monday, but the momentum could not be maintained, leading to a close encounter with the solid $2 support level.

Other altcoins such as BNB, SOL, and DOGE are also facing similar market situations. BNB has been trading between $693 and $634, indicating an equilibrium between the supply and demand. Solana, after rising above the moving averages, could not sustain the higher levels and broke below the moving averages on June 12. Dogecoin turned down from the $0.21 level, suggesting that the price remains within the $0.26 to $0.14 range.

Cardano, Hyperliquid, Sui, and Chainlink have also experienced volatile movements. Cardano turned down from the 50-day SMA ($0.72), indicating that bears continue to sell on rallies. Hyperliquid, after breaking the $42.25 resistance, is heading towards the breakout level from the symmetrical triangle pattern. Sui turned down from the 50-day SMA ($3.55), showing that bears are aggressively defending this level. Lastly, Chainlink re-entered its descending channel pattern, suggesting active sellers at higher levels.

These predictions provide a roadmap of potential price movements but always come with risk. Investors should, therefore, conduct their own market research before making any investment decisions.

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Twenty One Capital’s total funding reached a whopping $685 million after its investors opted to buy more convertible bonds. The backers of Twenty One Capital increased their investment by an additional $100 million in convertible senior secured notes, pushing the total funding of the Bitcoin treasury to $685 million.

Twenty One Capital, which had recently disclosed ambitious plans to acquire billions of dollars’ worth of Bitcoin, has also announced the launch of a proof of reserves, a public ledger confirming its Bitcoin treasury assets.

In other significant news, decentralized computing layer aZen closed a $1.2 million seed round, led by Waterdrip Capital with additional contributions from DWF Ventures, Rootz Labs, and Mindfulness Capital among others. The platform is developing decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePINs) for AI applications, reducing dependency on advanced chips amid supply chain disruptions.

Securitize, a tokenization platform, received an undisclosed investment from venture capital firm Jump Crypto. This marks Securitize’s first investment since BlackRock’s $47 million allocation in 2024. Securitize is now the largest tokenization market, with $4 billion in onchain assets.

UK-based tokenization company Savea received $2.5 million in seed funding to support its quest to launch tokenized investment products backed by scarce assets, such as wine, luxury watches, and classic cars. The round was led by venture studio EmergentX.

Lastly, self-custodial crypto wallet Dexari successfully closed a $2.3 million seed round. The funding will be used to further improve Dexari’s wallet, which also serves as a mobile trading app. Dexari, built on Hyperliquid, is hailed by Roderik van der Graaf, founder, and managing partner of Lemniscap, as “setting a new standard in crypto UX” away from complexity.

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