Understanding the Recent Ethereum Price Drop

The recent downturn in Ethereum’s value is its largest percentage decrease since January 29, 2026, when it experienced a 6.67% decline. Notably, Ethereum has seen a two-day consecutive fall, amounting to a 10.31% decrease over this period, marking the worst two-day stretch since the two days ending January 20, 2026, when it fell 10.47%.

Weekly and Monthly Performance

This week, Ethereum has slumped 8.00%, recording its worst weekly performance since the week ending January 23, 2026, when it fell 10.70%. On a month-to-date basis, the cryptocurrency is down 9.15%, matching its year-to-date performance. These figures highlight the ongoing volatility within the crypto market.

Long-term Trends and Market Impact

Comparing Ethereum’s current price to its all-time high of $4955.23 on August 24, 2025, the coin is down 45.41%. Over the past 52 weeks, Ethereum has decreased by 18.42%, having traded at $3315.81 a year ago. Despite this, the cryptocurrency is up 90.08% from its 52-week intraday low of $1387.85 on April 9, 2025.

Today’s intraday low reached $2638.02, the lowest since November 21, 2025, when it hit $2622.35. These fluctuations emphasize the need for investors to stay informed and adapt to the crypto market’s rapid changes.

Data for this article was compiled by Dow Jones Market Data, providing a snapshot of Ethereum’s performance as of 5 p.m. ET, highlighting the importance of reliable data in making informed investment decisions.

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One notable market analyst has proposed an even grimmer forecast for Bitcoin’s price in the next few weeks. This prediction suggests that Bitcoin is merely at the start of a downward trend that could intensify in the forthcoming days.

Chartered Market Technician (CMT) Aksel Kibar, in a July 25 post on social media platform X, projected a bearish future for Bitcoin after its price dropped to $115,000 on Friday. According to Kibar, the leading cryptocurrency may be heading for a low of approximately $109,000 soon.

Kibar’s pessimistic outlook is based on the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern visible on the weekly Bitcoin price chart. This pattern, characterized by three unique price dips, includes a lower “head” placed between two higher “shoulders”. This pattern usually suggests a potential bullish breakthrough confirmed when the price crosses the neckline – a line linking the tops (swing highs) between the head.

However, according to Kibar, Bitcoin’s price breakout may not align with the standard breakout often seen in inverse head-and-shoulders pattern scenarios. Kibar argues that most head-and-shoulder breakouts are succeeded by pullbacks and retests, not direct rallies.

Historical data provided by Kibar demonstrates that, since May 2017, Bitcoin’s price experienced a retest or pullback (type 2 continuation) more often than a direct rally (type 1 continuation) following a head-and-shoulder pattern breakout. This trend supports Kibar’s bearish projection for Bitcoin’s price in the upcoming days.

If Bitcoin experiences a deeper correction akin to the type 2 continuation, it is likely to revert to the neckline, around the $109,000 level. Such a move would denote an over 5% drop from the current price point.

Despite a rough start to the day, the market leader appears to be gradually recovering from its recent fall to $115,000. At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price stands at approximately $117,323, indicating a slight 0.6% decrease in the past 24 hours.

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The proposed $50 million settlement between Ripple and the SEC has been turned down by a federal judge, resulting in a bearish impact on XRP’s price. Despite the disappointing turn of events, social media sentiment around XRP has shown a surprising surge.

The Ripple-SEC case appeared to be progressing with both parties agreeing to a reduced $50 million settlement. However, the joint motion for an indicative ruling has now been dismissed in court, as per the filing shared by defense attorney James K. Filian. The two parties were unable to demonstrate extraordinary circumstances that outweigh public interest or the administration of justice to justify altering the judgment. As a result, Ripple is still liable for the original fine of $125 million.

Following the announcement, XRP’s price took a hit. The asset, which was trading around $2.15 when the news broke out, fell below $2.09, marking a decrease of approximately 3%. This downturn, while mild by cryptocurrency standards, may indicate some panic selling.

Contrary to the market reaction, retail sentiment, as indicated by social media data, has taken a surprising leap. Analytics firm Santiment’s recent post sheds light on the response of social media users to the stalling of the Ripple-SEC case. The “Positive/Negative Sentiment” indicator by Santiment measures the ratio between positive and negative comments related to a specific coin on major social media platforms.

This machine-learning model-based indicator separates positive and negative posts and determines their comparative counts. Currently, the Positive/Negative Sentiment for all three major cryptocurrencies – Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP – is above the 1 mark, indicating a dominance of bullish posts over bearish ones.

However, for Bitcoin and Ethereum, the advantage of positive comments is minimal, indicating a mild level of optimism. XRP, on the other hand, shows a sharp spike, with its Positive/Negative Sentiment reaching 2.1 – the highest in 17 days. This figure corresponds to more than twice as many bullish calls as bearish ones.

Often, retail sentiment serves as a contrarian signal, with extreme values in either direction leading to a price reversal. While this shift in crowd mentality could suggest investors are not perturbed by the news, it’s worth keeping an eye on this indicator.

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Technical analyst Doctor Profit has recently shared important observations on the social media platform X (previously known as Twitter), pointing to a significant Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) gap at $92,000. The analyst forecasts that Bitcoin will likely touch this level, indicating that filling this gap might trigger further market anxiety, often exploited by market makers.

Doctor Profit also mentioned the considerable liquidity in this area in his analysis, making it a plausible near-term target for Bitcoin. This could mean a 12% retrace for BTC’s value. He also emphasized several technical indicators hinting at a bearish pattern for Bitcoin, including the Moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) crossing on the daily chart and the breach of the crucial $104,000 level.

Doctor Profit also drew attention to the temporary loss of what he termed the “golden line,” currently sitting around $103,000 for BTC, another crucial level to monitor for future recoveries. He cautioned that vigilance is needed, especially near crucial levels such as $100,000 and the CME gap at $92,000. He even suggested the possibility of Bitcoin correcting down to the $82,000–$84,000 bracket in a worst-case scenario.

Doctor Profit further explained that the situation depends on the golden line, acting as a critical retest to verify yesterday’s breakdown. For Bitcoin to maintain a bullish progression, it needs to close above this level.

He also identified a substantial liquidity cluster around the $113,000 mark, noting that this area is full of short liquidations. If Bitcoin consolidates above the golden line, the uncertainty troubling traders could diminish, triggering a move from protective strategies back to a more bullish outlook.

In his analysis, Doctor Profit concluded that while he initially anticipated Bitcoin to hit $90,000 before any new all-time highs (ATH), the resolution of current market uncertainty suggests that this may no longer be required. With the Israel-Iran conflict and the volatility seemingly over, he believes Bitcoin can speed toward new all-time highs without needing to revisit the $90,000 mark.

At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $105,560, showing a 3% price increase in the 24-hour period. At this level, the market’s leading cryptocurrency stands 5.3% below its record high of $111,800.

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What’s Causing Cardano’s Price Dip?

One of the main culprits behind the falling price is the increasing bearish momentum visible on the technical charts. Technical indicators suggest the presence of strong downward pressure, which could persist unless there’s a significant influx of buyers. ADA is also demonstrating a potential falling wedge pattern, often a bullish reversal signal, but it remains unconfirmed. If the price falls below the current support, it may continue to the $0.57 or possibly $0.5 levels.

The chart above highlights ADA’s price stuck within a descending parallel channel while maintaining a key support zone. The price has once again reached this support zone between $0.6 and $0.61, however, signs of a positive rebound are minimal. Should the price fail to trigger a rebound, a drop to the next support at $0.51 seems plausible. Yet, a rebound could push levels to $0.65, though this appears doubtful as the RSI is nearing the lower limit. A fall into the oversold range could signify a continued bearish trend.

Profit-taking Among Long-term Holders

On-chain data highlights another concern: the ‘Age Consumed’ metric, tracking the movement of older coins not transacted for a significant period, has hit a 9-month high. This spike indicates dwindling investor confidence, as a rise in this metric suggests long-term holders are cashing out, potentially impacting ADA’s price negatively.

This action by long-term holders is troubling as markets, particularly Cardano, could face amplified selling pressure. This could make it increasingly difficult for ADA to regain positive momentum in the short term, maintaining the short-term targets. This might be a pivotal reason why ADA’s price is finding it hard to stabilize.

The Future of ADA’s Price

Is this merely a dip or a more severe issue? If Cardano can remain above the $0.6 mark, we may see a rebound towards $0.66 or even $0.70. But if that support breaks, $0.57 is the next defense line. A fall below that? Then $0.50 could become a reality sooner than expected.

ADA’s current price action is a blend of technical weakness, long-term holders selling off, and bearish trader sentiment. While it’s not a moment of panic, it is definitely a time to be vigilant.

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While the political climate has seen some improvement, with the US securing deals with several nations including its primary adversary, China, recent events have brought about fresh waves of uncertainty. The situation has become particularly grim due to the deadly Operation Rising Lion launched by Israel on June 13, targeting numerous strategic military and nuclear locations in Iran. The latest reports indicate an alarming death toll nearing 100, including top-ranking commanders and scientists, with over 300 injured.

In retaliation, Iran executed Operation Vow of Truth 3, launching a barrage of missiles at central Israel, Tel Aviv, Jerusalem, and other northern targets. The reported casualties from this assault stand at a minimum of three, with dozens injured. The initial attacks by Israel were dubbed as “preemptive” by Israel and Trump, aiming to hinder Iran’s nuclear development as the nation refuses to sign any such agreement. Iran, on the other hand, justified its retaliatory actions as a defense of its sovereignty against direct aggression.

Similar to the trade war period, Bitcoin’s price responded swiftly after Israel’s attack. It plunged from a daily high of $108,500 to under $103,000 within hours. Although it has regained some ground and currently trades around $105,000, the uncertainty continues and the situation could worsen, potentially causing further complications.

Ali Martinez, a popular crypto analyst, cautioned that Bitcoin needs to maintain a six-digit price range; else there is a risk of it falling back to under $80,000. Whales, or large Bitcoin holders, have also started to show signs of change in attitude, with some beginning to trim their positions. If these sell-offs continue or escalate, it could not only increase the selling pressure on Bitcoin but may also influence smaller investors to follow suit.

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Bitcoin’s BTCUSD price is exhibiting a classic bearish pattern on lower time frames, stoking concerns that a breakdown could result in a fall to $97,000 or lower.

The bear flag is a bearish continuation setup formed when the price consolidates upward in a parallel channel following a sharp downward move. In Bitcoin’s situation, the flag began to form after BTC hit nearly $103,100 on May 31. Over the weekend, the consolidation has continued, with the price repeatedly testing the flag’s support line.

The bearish continuation will be validated if the price falls below the flag’s lower boundary at $104,800. The pattern’s projected downside target is currently near $97,690, calculated by adding the height of the initial flagpole to the breakout point.

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView reveals that the BTCUSD pair has declined 6.3% from its all-time highs above $111,000. Despite closing 11% higher in May, traders are contemplating the future direction of Bitcoin’s price. The month of June has historically seen mixed results, with an average loss of 0.3%.

Noted crypto analyst Daan Crypto Trades suggests monitoring the mid-range at $99,600 and the previous all-time high at $108,000 during the first week of June. A break above $108,000 could push the BTCUSD pair towards its $111,900 all-time high, where it would likely encounter significant resistance, leading to a fall back into the range. Conversely, a break below $99,600 could see the pair fall lower before finding comfort from the 200-day simple moving average at $97,600.

As Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoin traders are studying the weekly and monthly closes for hints as to where BTC price action might be headed next, with the psychological levels at $100,000 and $97,000 remaining key areas of interest.

This article does not offer investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move carries risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Key Takeaway: The TD Sequential, a tool used to identify market exhaustion in either direction across various timeframes, has flashed multiple buy signals on XRP’s hourly chart, suggesting a possible rebound.

Popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez shared a chart showcasing the TD Sequential’s signals. This comes in the wake of XRP’s failure to surpass the $2.7 resistance earlier this week, resulting in a drop to $2.3. This represents a more than 12% price decrease in just a few days.

The price drop coincides with Judge Torres’s decision to reject the joint motion filed by the US SEC and Ripple to settle their lawsuit with an official settlement of $50 million. In previous analyses, Martinez suggested that XRP had no significant resistance on its path to $3 and beyond but warned that a fall below the crucial support level of $2.38 could spell more trouble for the token. This scenario has played out over the last 24 hours.

An additional bearish signal could be the low rate of new wallet creation on the XRP network. According to Santiment, the daily average of new XRP wallets was around 3,500, significantly trailing behind leaders Bitcoin (309,000 per day) and Ethereum (112,000 per day).

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Early Investment Reaps Significant Rewards

Delving deeper into the tale, it’s fascinating to consider the initial investment this investor made in Pepe. Sources reveal they spent merely around $2,184 to acquire a whopping 1.5 trillion Pepe tokens in the early days.

Now, having offloaded part of their holdings, this individual has raked in profits of $6.66 million, which equates to a staggering 4,718-fold return on their initial investment. Even after this massive sale, they still possess a substantial amount of Pepe tokens – about 493 billion, currently valued at approximately $3.64 million.

Price Takes a Hit

The news of this massive sale seems to have negatively impacted Pepe’s price. Over the last 24 hours, the coin’s value has fallen by about 4.59%, according to the transaction record. Some sources even report a slightly larger decrease, over 5%. Currently, one Pepe coin is trading at around $0.00006976, showcasing how market prices can be influenced by the actions of large-scale token holders.

Market Exhibits Signs of Instability

Beyond this major sale, Pepe’s price is also under pressure from a sluggish overall cryptocurrency market. Despite the lower price, Pepe continues to see active trading. The daily trading volume has in fact increased by about 3.90% to $421.28 million, indicating that interest in buying and selling the meme coin remains robust despite the price dip.

Technical Indicators Suggest Downward Trend

A look at some key technical charts reveals a gloomy outlook for Pepe at present. The MACD chart suggests a bearish signal, indicating a potential continued price drop. The RSI is in the so-called “oversold” territory at 24.55, usually a sign of significant selling pressure.

Data also indicates a consistent outflow of money from Pepe since mid-January, a negative sign for its price. Some market analysts predict that if Pepe’s price remains below a particular threshold, around $0.0000075, it could plummet another 20% to roughly $0.00000585.

Featured image from Gemini Imagen, chart from TradingView.

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Bitcoin’s performance over the past week has been anything but steady. It kicked off the previous weekend with a price dive from $102,000 to $97,000 on Sunday morning, following Trump’s tariffs against China, Mexico, and Canada. The situation took a turn for the worse on Monday morning with a further drop to under $92,000.

Unexpectedly, the cryptocurrency rebounded and added ten thousand within hours, peaking above $102,000. However, this surge was ephemeral as Bitcoin quickly surrendered its six-digit price tag and descended towards $97,000.

After a few days of sideways movement, Bitcoin momentarily crossed the $100,000 mark on Friday. However, the bears quickly took control, preventing further growth and pushing bitcoin down to under $96,000. The cryptocurrency now struggles to recover that level, with its market capitalization teetering on the brink of falling below $1.9 trillion. Despite this, Bitcoin’s dominance over altcoins remains high (nearly 59% on CG), as altcoins have taken a harder hit.

Altcoins, on the other hand, have suffered more than Bitcoin, with many deep in the red. Ethereum has seen a 4% drop over the past day and is struggling to maintain above $2,600. Other larger-cap altcoins such as Chainlink, SUI, AVAX, ADA, and XMR have also experienced significant declines of up to 7%. DOGE, BNB, SOL, and HBAR are also in the red, albeit less severely. XRP and TRX are among the few altcoins with minor gains over the past day.

Consequently, the total crypto market cap has lost another $80 billion since yesterday, bringing it down to $3.250 trillion on CG.

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