The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) for long-term holders (LTH) is one metric gaining attention. It has reached a new high for 2025, according to CryptoQuant analyst Gaah. This indicator measures the profitability of coins moved by owners who have held their Bitcoin for over 155 days. Current readings suggest that LTHs are starting to sell at a profit, but the SOPR is yet to reach the critical levels traditionally associated with market peaks.

Gaah pointed out that while the LTH SOPR has crossed the midpoint and is slightly above 2.5, it’s still far below the 4.0 level, which has historically signaled macro peaks in past cycles. This indicates that long-term investors are making profits, but not in a manner that suggests a market frenzy or widespread divestment. Higher SOPR readings above 4.0 in previous bull cycles marked the beginning of substantial corrections or cycle peaks.

The steady rise in profit-taking suggests a maturing market that still has upward potential. Gaah advises investors to view this as part of the natural progression of a bullish phase, although correction risks persist. The ongoing patterns of accumulation and realization by LTHs offer a glimpse into how confidence and caution can coexist in the market.

In related news, CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain pointed out the continual activity in the Bitcoin derivatives market. He noted that the total number of outstanding futures contracts, or open interest, remains high near $42 billion. Though slightly down from recent peaks, this level is near historical highs and shows robust trader involvement.

Arab Chain also underlined the impact of rising funding rates on market sentiment. Presently, these funding rates show a dominance of long positions, suggesting a bullish market. However, with high open interest and increasing leveraged trades, this could also indicate a higher risk of volatility. An unexpected price shift could trigger widespread liquidations if funding becomes unsustainable, forcing exchanges to close positions.

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The ‘Market Magnet’ Theory, as labelled by CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost, employs the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio to gauge the current profitability of holders. Reports propose that the average realized profit for long-term holders hovers around 220%. This might seem promising, but when compared to the 300% and 350% gains of March and December 2024, it falls short. The difference between the current 220% and these earlier peaks has led to predictions of a $140,000 Bitcoin value to equalize unrealized profits with the cycle’s highest levels.

Recent trends reveal that long-term investors have been divesting their holdings as Bitcoin approaches new peaks. Data indicates that these investors have been largely responsible for the selling pressure in recent weeks. The average cost basis for this group, the realized price, is approximately $33,800, meaning that to break even, anyone who bought Bitcoin six months ago would need the digital currency to hit this price.

To match the profit levels of March and December 2024, Bitcoin would need to soar to $140,000. This situation has prompted some traders to secure profits early, while others remain hopeful for larger gains. Reports estimate that a vast majority of Bitcoin investors hold unrealized profits totalling a staggering $2.5 trillion, reflecting the robustness of the recent market rally.

Despite this, investors remain optimistic that new buying activity could absorb any potential profit-taking waves. The current market condition seems to be in a temporary pause, with buyers and sellers assessing each other. The central question is whether demand will surge enough to reach the projected magnet-level price.

Market analysts suggest that Bitcoin is poised for a post-breakout retest since breaking the multi-week downtrend that began in mid-May. They predict that the bull run may only have a few months left before a final surge and a subsequent trend change. If this prediction holds, the final push might see Bitcoin nearing or even touching $140,000. Historical patterns indicate a sharp peak followed by a cooling-off period after such a surge.

Featured image from Imagen, chart from TradingViewCryptoNewsBTC

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Bitcoin Vector, a market pulse aggregator supported by Swissblock, indicates that the fall is not solely macro-driven but also a result of seasonal weakness and a decrease in onchain network growth. This points to a reduction in spot demand. The past day saw over $434 million in BTC futures being liquidated, highlighting that the current move is largely driven by leverage with traders choosing safety over new exposure.

Despite the dip, the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index – a metric that compares BTC prices on Coinbase and Binance – has mostly been positive throughout June, indicating consistent spot demand from US investors. However, this demand has had a limited effect on the price due to overall market caution.

Additional pressure came from profit-taking activities among “mid-cycle holders” (6–12 months), who realized $904 million in profits on Monday, Glassnode reports. This group made up 83% of the total realized gains, a significant shift from the longer-term holders who had previously led profit realization. This shift implies a change in market dynamics, with more reactive participants securing gains during recent highs.

Nevertheless, long-term investor behavior still gives an optimistic outlook. Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr. observed that long-term holders (LTHs) are still holding back from large-scale spending, a pattern that has historically been bullish. With a healthy MVRV Z-score indicating that BTC remains fundamentally undervalued, and positive Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) momentum suggesting selective profit-taking rather than panic, similar scenarios in the past have led to 18–25% rallies within 6–8 weeks. This indicates a potential $130,000 price target by the end of Q2.

From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin appears to be nearing a short-term bottom between $102,000 and $104,000, where a dense liquidity pocket and a historical order block intersect. The Bollinger Bands are also indicating an imminent volatility spike, with the middle band acting as dynamic resistance near the $106,000 mark. A successful reclaim and close above $106,748 could validate a bullish reversal toward $112,000. However, a clean break below $100,000 could nullify this setup and target $98,000.

Data from Alphractal also identifies $98,300 as the key support level where Short-Term Holders (STHs) remain profitable. If this threshold is breached, it could lead to a deeper correction. As Alphractal noted, the market can still be considered bullish as long as Bitcoin stays above the STH Realized Price. A significant drop below the $98K level could trigger a more substantial downfall.

Please note that this article does not provide investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, making it essential for readers to conduct their own research before making a decision.

The post Bitcoin Predicted to Surge 25% Post-Correction, History Might Repeat Itself appeared first on Crypto Market Insights: Dive In with CryptoUpdate.io.

The memecoin sniper reportedly made a fast purchase and subsequent sale of newly introduced “Broccoli” memecoins on the Four.Meme platform, as per a blockchain developer’s disclosure. The developer, known as bheau, shared on X that the sniper managed to buy about 50% of each newly launched Broccoli coin, during the same block they were deployed.

The execution process was carried out within the same block, exploiting the speed of deployment and transaction ordering. Following CZ’s X post, a deluge of Broccoli-themed memecoins swamped various launch platforms like Solana’s Pump.fun and BNB Smart Chain’s Four.Meme, which now feature hundreds of CZ-dog-themed coins.

A memecoin sniper is generally an automated bot or smart contract that scans blockchain networks for new coin deployments. Once a coin is launched, the sniper executes a series of pre-programmed transactions within the same block to buy a substantial portion of the coin’s total supply at a low price.

The sniper’s strategy yielded $10 million, as per reports. The blockchain developer explained that the sniper’s smart contract’s rapid execution allowed it to secure coins at a very low price before other market players could react. The sniper’s system sold these tokens soon after, capturing over $10 million in profit as the prices of the Broccoli coins surged in response to market hype.

The sniper’s smart contract continuously monitored blockchain activity for newly launched tokens with “Broccoli” in their contract name or metadata. Upon finding a match, the contract ensured that the token was tradeable and met liquidity conditions before automatically executing a buy order. This strategy ensured that the sniper only acquired Broccoli-themed coins, concentrating its capital on the most hyped tokens.

In the aftermath of the memecoin speculation, CZ posted on X, expressing concern over the over-interpretation of his tweets. He also faced accusations from some in the crypto sector of exploiting users to boost activity on the BNB Chain.

The Binance Founder responded to the comments, stating, “Yes, I wanted to see more activity on BSC, and I did not want to get involved in issuing/running a meme coin, as I have zero experience, and I thought memes were community-driven, but feedback received.”

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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According to a report by Whale Alert, a Bitcoin address, “1PNRpMZ,” inactive since November 2013, has come to life, moving part of its funds to two new addresses: “3EgCi” and “15UaJb.” The investor chose older Bitcoin address formats instead of the newer Bech32 format, often favored for more efficient transactions.

Bitcoin addresses come in three main types:

• Legacy addresses (starting with “1”), which offer basic functionality.
• P2SH addresses (starting with “3”), used for more complex transactions like multi-signature wallets.
• Bech32 addresses (starting with “bc1”), the latest format optimized for lower fees and better scalability with SegWit technology.

This early Bitcoin investor’s address choice highlights an interesting decision to stick with the Legacy and P2SH formats. With 18 BTC worth $1.15 million today, their investment has grown 10,408% since 2013 when the BTC was worth just $10,883. This translates to an average annual return on investment of 946.2% for each year held.

The bulk of this whale’s Bitcoin, now valued at over a million dollars, remains in their Legacy address 1PNRpMZ. It’s a fascinating glimpse into how early investors are managing their fortunes as Bitcoin continues to evolve.

The post Ancient Bitcoin Whale Awakens After Nearly 11 Years, Profits Soar 10,408% appeared first on Crypto Market Insights: Dive In with CryptoUpdate.io.

Arbitrage trading on Binance P2P is a famous trading method that focuses on creating revenue by purchasing an asset in a marketplace and selling it in another marketplace. That is frequently done between matching assets traded on various crypto exchanges.

The dissimilarity in rates among these financial instruments should be nil because they are obviously the same asset. The difficulty an arbitrageur or an arbitrage trader has is recognizing these differences in costs and being capable of trading them rapidly. 

Because other arbitrageur is expected to realize this dissimilarity in cost, the window of productivity generally closes extremely fast. Because arbitrage trades are usually low-risk, therefore the returns are typically low. That implies that arbitrageurs do not just require acting rapidly; they need too much capital to make it worth it. 

Here are the steps to begin Binance p2p arbitrage trading.

Step 1: add money to your Binance P2P wallet

If you want to sell your crypto asset at a maximum price and re-purchase at a reduced cost on the Binance p2p marketplace, you should add some cryptocurrency to your wallet. 

If you own your cryptocurrency wallet on Binance spot, other exchanges, or trust wallet, you should transfer that crypto to your Binance p2p wallet. 

Step 2: seek price spread

When you transfer crypto to your p2p wallet, you will now need to seek a Binance p2p arbitrage chance. Sort out the marketplace by your local currencies or mode of payment and seek a higher spread in the marketplace. Ensure that you think about payment rates as a profitability factor of such trades. 

Step 3: Trade the Spread

After spotting crypto with a higher spread on the p2p marketplace, you should purchase from users who sell at a lower price and sell back to users who purchase at a higher price. Initially, you should do it with less capital; however, you can spend a more elevated amount to boost the market profitability when you polish your skills.

3 Methods to perform arbitrage on Binance p2p

Conventional exchanges may have various arbitrage opportunities readily accessible. But, the peer-to-peer marketplace offers a flexible trading experience that you will not discover anywhere else. For example, on a single market, such as Binance p2p, you will discover dissimilar prices in global payment methods, local fiat currencies, and crypto. Here are three of the most famous arbitrage methods employed on Binance p2p. 

1. Do everything on Binance P2P

This method is straightforward; however, it does need some perceptive eyes. If you browse Binance P2P, you will realize that crypto rates may vary based on the offer’s local currency or the payment method. Now, you will just need to look for the lucrative price spread. 

Purchase from a seller selling low then sells to another person purchasing high. You can sort out your homepage by local currency or payment method to make your search easy. The best thing is to perform this entire procedure on Binance p2p, and you will ignore the possibilities of additional costs and transfer times. 

Keep in mind that people who want to use this method may require payment mode in numerous currencies to perform this tactic.

2. Use the Binance exchange

Under this method, you will be capable of leveraging two different marketplaces in the Binance ecosystem. You can begin by checking rates on the conventional exchange feature, the Spot market. 

The procedure is the same as the first method; however, it needs additional steps. You can discover lower-price crypto on the Spot marketplace and then sell it on the P2P marketplace at an increased price. You may find it easy; however, some essential things to consider. 

First, ensure that you decide on a limited amount for your Spot market proposal. The prices of crypto move rapidly, and market orders can cause price slippage. Secondly, see if your crypto is supported on both exchanges or platforms. 

3. Trade across different platforms

Enterprise outside the Binance exchange and seek spreads between conventional crypto exchanges or different P2P platforms. Discover a lower cost on a single platform and then sell at a higher price on another platform. 

It also sounds straightforward. However, there are certain things to keep in mind. Dissimilar exchanges imply different charges, for worse or better. While Binance P2P doesn’t charge any fee, some other platforms might do. Also, remember that transferring between platforms can be costly and slow. 

Different Techniques for Binance P2P Arbitrage 

The Binance p2p marketplace is quite flexible for any savvy investor to adopt various methods in P2P arbitrage trading. At a p2p single market, you will discover differences in the price of global payment methods, fiat currencies, and crypto. Below are three suitable techniques that you can use to enjoy the Binance p2p arbitrage opportunities.

Intra-p2p Market Techniques

Under this method, you can implement p2p arbitrage trading just on the Binance p2p marketplace. A closer observation of the p2p marketplace, when sorted by payment methods or local currencies, will disclose a cost spread in a single crypto asset. 

Hence, you will need to seek the maximum spread and then purchase from the trader selling low and selling to the buying high. 

Since Binance exchange offers free p2p transactions, you will need to understand the revenue to deduct the charges charged by your mode of payment. To make the most of this method, you should own a payment mode in a different fiat. That will undoubtedly help you with the increased trading chances and even cross-trade among fiat currencies. The best thing about this method is that it will help you save yourself from the danger of extra costs and transfer times.

Between Spot and p2p Market Techniques

Another crucial method in p2p arbitrage is purchasing on the spot market of Binance P2P and selling on the p2p market of Binance or vice versa. If you look closely at the p2p market price and spot market price, you will notice a slight distinction between one crypto token.

Thus, you should seek the maximum spread, then purchase from the spot marketplace and sell at the p2p marketplace or vice versa. 

Between Exchange Techniques

That is the final method in p2p arbitrage trading. Every platform has its unique P2P marketplaces, and close surveillance of one crypto asset will show a distinction in price between one P2P marketplace and another. 

Thus, you will need to discover the maximum price spread across these platforms and purchase from those that offer a lower p2p price and sell on another with a full p2p price. 

Conclusion 

Binance P2P arbitrage trading is a highly low-risk endeavour compared to various other trading tactics.

For example, P2P arbitrage trading is lucrative, unlike regular arbitrage trading. That is, as there is no transaction between platforms. The single fee incurred on this trading is levied by your payment mode. 

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