1 min read.

BTCUSD

Main Takeaways:

• Bitcoin on the verge of a 10% Q1 decline
• Markets anticipate major moves from the White House
• Q2 brings potential risks of tariffs and trade wars

The future of the crypto market will largely depend on forthcoming policy decisions by the White House, particularly those made by its crypto working group.

🔍 A Glance at Q1

Bitcoin BTCUSD has had a sluggish start to this week’s trading (possibly due to the EU’s hour shift forward over the weekend?), with prices hovering below the flatline around $82,000. Today marks the conclusion of the first quarter — a cause for celebration for some — and with it, the close of Bitcoin’s three-month performance. The quarter was primarily characterized by disappointment. Despite hosting its inaugural crypto gala and promising significant developments in the sector, the White House failed to energize crypto traders.

📉 Bitcoin’s 10% Q1 Loss

Bitcoin is poised to end the first quarter of 2025 with a 10% loss. Prices opened around $93,500 on January 1 but have since shed approximately $12,000, hitting a two-week low today. The situation could have been worse — Bitcoin reached a five-month low of $76,000 in mid-March, erasing all post-election gains. But let’s shift our focus from the past to the present and future. If the White House can deliver on its grand promises regarding growth, prosperity, and widespread business and user adoption, there could be exciting times ahead.

🔮 Q2 Outlook

The White House’s crypto working group has committed to expanding the industry’s presence in the US through deregulation, pro-crypto policies, and a generally more welcoming approach to the sector compared to Joe Biden’s stringent stance. However, the second quarter brings the risk of tariffs, which pose a threat to global trade, as they have the potential to hinder economic growth, damage corporate revenues and profits, and generally undermine consumer confidence.

The post BTC/USD Forecast: Bitcoin Poised for 10% Q1 Pullback. What Lies in Store for Q2? appeared first on Crypto Market Insights: Dive In with CryptoUpdate.io.

Data from ETF monitoring platform, SoSoValue, reveals that the Bitcoin ETFs recorded total net outflows of $93.47 million on Friday, shifting their aggregate net flows for the past week to $196.7 million. Prior to the negative input on Friday, these funds had witnessed positive inflows for an uninterrupted period of 10 trading days, indicating a strong market interest.

This turnaround suggests a resurgence of bullish sentiments among institutional Bitcoin investors, especially after the bearish trends observed in February and early March, which were marked by massive asset withdrawals. Blackrock’s IBIT saw the most inflows last week, with $171.95 million in investments, followed by Fidelity’s FBTC with $86.84 million. VanEck’s HODL was the only other ETF to register a positive inflow, with $5 million in new deposits.

In contrast, Ark Invest’s ARKB reported net outflows of $40.97 million. Similarly, Invesco’s BTCO, WisdomTree’s BTCW, and Bitwise’s BITB saw moderate levels of redemptions ranging from $6.95 million to $10.22 million. Grayscale’s GBTC, BTC, and Franklin Templeton’s EZBC recorded no significant flows.

As we inch closer to Q2 2025, the Bitcoin spot ETFs end Q1 on an ambiguous note. The year kicked off with impressive bullish momentum, driving $5.25 billion in net inflows in January. However, a swift reversal was seen with net liquidations of $4.25 billion across February and March. The resurgence of positive flows in the latter part of March indicates renewed market interest and robust market confidence. The crypto-friendly stance of the Trump administration could further stimulate institutional investment in the long term. However, macroeconomic factors such as potential Fed rate hikes and ongoing US tariff changes could lead investors to pull out of high-risk assets or associated investments. The current uncertainty surrounding the Bitcoin bull run also raises serious concerns.

At the time of reporting, the leading cryptocurrency trades at $83,359, down by 0.77% over the past 24 hours. Moreover, the daily trading volume has dipped by 49.43% and stands at $16.88 billion.

The post Spot ETFs for Bitcoin Witness $197M Net Inflows as Q1 Wraps Up – A Closer Look appeared first on Crypto Market Insights: Dive In with CryptoUpdate.io.

“The situation is becoming increasingly challenging for the bears. We foresee Bitcoin reaching new heights by the close of this quarter,” stated Pav Hundal, lead analyst at crypto exchange Swyftx, in an interview with Cointelegraph.

Hundal noted that the Bitcoin market has reverted to the volatility levels witnessed around the time of the US elections in November. This was when the initial euphoria kicked in following Donald Trump’s presidential win.

As per the latest data from CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin is trading at $102,470. “Volatility is no longer the dominating factor and could pose a threat to speculators in the short term,” Hundal warned.

“We are in a phase where volatility seems primed to surge, which could prove perilous for both market sides,” he further added.

Prior to the announcement of the US election results, trader uncertainty led to significant liquidations. On the eve of Trump’s victory, crypto market liquidations nearly hit $350 million as Bitcoin’s price briefly fell below $69,000. This coincided with narrowing odds of Trump’s victory on Polymarket.

However, Hundal believes that the crypto market is about to step into “the most favorable policy-making era in crypto history, as apathy starts to gain ground.”

He expressed surprise at the stark contrast between the macro conditions in the crypto world and investor sentiment. On December 14, asset management firm VanEck projected that Bitcoin would reach a medium-term peak in Q1 and hit new highs by Q4 2025.

On the other hand, the crypto community is divided on Bitcoin’s Q1 performance. BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes speculates that Bitcoin could potentially retreat to the $70,000 to $75,000 range, possibly triggering a “mini financial crisis.”

Contrarily, Dr. Sean Dawson, head of research at Derive, opined that Bitcoin has less than a 10% probability of falling to the $75,000 level.

The post “Bitcoin Bears Running Out of Room, Predicts Analyst: New Highs Likely by End of Q1” appeared first on Crypto Market Insights: Dive In with CryptoUpdate.io.