The Current Scenario: The cryptocurrency landscape has witnessed a downturn recently, with both the overall crypto market capitalization (TOTALCAP) and Bitcoin’s (BTC) price experiencing a decline since the start of October. Notably, Avalanche (AVAX) peaked on October 7 but has since seen a significant drop. Major exchanges like Binance and OKX have also revamped their crypto operations to align with the UK Financial Conduct Authority’s (FCA) guidelines.
Crypto Market Cap’s Bearish Turn: After bouncing back from the $1 trillion support level on September 11, the crypto market cap showcased a promising uptrend, breaking free from a descending resistance trendline by September 18. A minor price dip on September 25 underscored the trendline’s importance. However, the momentum continued, pushing TOTALCAP to a high of $1.10 trillion by October 2. But a bearish candlestick pattern emerged on the same day, signaling a potential price reversal. Comparing this peak with the August 29 high, it’s evident that such deviations often hint at significant price shifts.
Should the bearish trend continue, we might see the market cap approach the $1 trillion support, roughly 7% below the current level. Conversely, a surge of about 5% would target the next resistance at $1.13 trillion.
Bitcoin’s Downward Drift: Bitcoin, too, managed to break its descending resistance trendline around September 28, reaching an impressive $28,580 shortly after. This peak was marginally higher than its August end value. However, a subsequent decline indicated strong selling pressure, marking a deviation above the crucial $28,000 resistance zone. Currently, Bitcoin is striving to surpass this resistance.
Should Bitcoin succeed, we might witness a 6% rally towards $29,500. But a setback could drag it down by 5%, aligning with the descending resistance trendline near $26,000.
AVAX’s Volatile Journey: Avalanche’s (AVAX) price trajectory has been quite eventful. After breaking its descending resistance trendline on September 25, it soared, touching $11.88 by October 7. However, this surge was short-lived, and a subsequent decline ensued.
If this bearish trend persists, AVAX might find support around $9.20, which is 8% below its current standing. Alternatively, a bullish resurgence could propel it by 25%, targeting the $12.30 resistance.
