Bitcoin’s potential for a new bull market might not rely solely on traditional accommodative policies, such as lowering interest rates, according to industry experts. The focus keyword, Bitcoin bull market, suggests that the next major catalyst could defy common assumptions about interest rates.
Rethinking Accommodative Policies for Bitcoin
Historically, accommodative policies by the US Federal Reserve, like reducing interest rates, have been seen as favorable for riskier assets such as Bitcoin (BTC). This is because traditional investments like bonds become less attractive under such conditions. However, Jeff Park, the chief investment officer at ProCap Financial, argues that these policies might not trigger the next Bitcoin bull market.
The ‘Positive Row Bitcoin’ Theory
Park introduces the concept of ‘positive row Bitcoin,’ where Bitcoin’s price could rise even as interest rates increase. This scenario challenges the conventional quantitative easing (QE) theory. Park describes this as the ‘holy grail’ for Bitcoin, suggesting that it could thrive in an environment where traditional economic indicators are reversed.
The Broken Monetary System
Park emphasizes that the current monetary system is flawed. The relationship between the Federal Reserve and the US Treasury is not functioning optimally, which could impact the direction of national securities. This dysfunction may lead to a scenario where Bitcoin gains value as the perceived ‘risk-free rate’ loses its significance.
Currently, traders on platforms like Polymarket are predicting a high probability of multiple Fed interest rate cuts by 2026, indicating uncertainty in traditional economic strategies. As of the latest data, Bitcoin is trading at $70,503, marking a 22.53% decrease over the past month, based on CoinMarketCap statistics.
