Despite its recent slowdown, Bitcoin’s value has maintained a position around the $103,000 mark. While some short-term volatility is being observed, the long-term perspective remains bullish. As a result, market analysts are turning their attention to long-term cycle indicators, such as the Golden Ratio Multiplier, to predict future trends.
This particular tool, which accurately identified the Bitcoin peak in 2021, is now suggesting a new high for the ongoing Bitcoin cycle. A recent post by renowned crypto analyst CryptoCon on social media platform X emphasized the reliability of the Golden Ratio Multiplier.
The Golden Ratio Multiplier is a logarithmic model that employs Fibonacci-derived multipliers to forecast Bitcoin’s macro trends. Interestingly, this metric was one of the few that accurately predicted the April 2021 cycle peak in real-time, mirroring the price peaks in 2017 and 2013.
This cycle, the model has signaled a significant peak in March 2024, but CryptoCon believes this is not the final high but a mid-top. He explained that Bitcoin’s price action has already reached Level 4 of the multiplier chart this cycle, but the actual peak is yet to come.
The Level 5 band is currently around $160,000 and continues to rise. CryptoCon drew comparisons to past cycles, particularly the 2015 to 2017 period, when Bitcoin experienced a slow build-up followed by a massive breakout. According to this comparison, the current market phase aligns with April 2017, right before Bitcoin embarked on a several-month-long rally.
The Golden Multiplier Ratio suggests that Bitcoin’s next significant target is $160,000. Each level, from Level 1 to Level 10, is based on a multiplier level derived from the 350-day moving average. Bitcoin has previously peaked at various levels, with Level 10 in 2011, Levels 9 and 8 in 2013, Level 7 in 2017, and Level 6 in 2021. The peak of the current cycle is expected to be Level 5, but Bitcoin’s price has not yet reached this point.
If the market continues to follow this structure, Bitcoin could be gearing up for a rally towards the Level 5 mark of $160,000 later this year, marking the cycle’s final high. The current price range around $103,000 could be the calm before the final breakout, CryptoCon noted. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $102,971.
