Technical analyst Kevin, known on social media as @Kev_Capital_TA, has reignited the discussion on Dogecoin’s market structure. On Sunday, he advised traders to disregard the incessant technical analysis (TA) on DOGE propagated for engagement purposes and instead, focus on the two signals that have guided the meme-coin’s price for over two years. “Dogecoin’s situation remains largely unchanged,” he stated, warning against getting overwhelmed by redundant TA.
The Future of Dogecoin
Kevin’s perspective is largely based on the weekly chart he shared on June 26. Back then, Dogecoin (DOGE) was floating around $0.166. His chart showed it resting on an ascending support cluster that has determined every significant move since the 2022 bear market washout. “Whenever DOGE has reached this level—which has occurred five times now—it has seen substantial bounces,” he said. A failure of the weekly RSI level, coupled with a breach of the $0.143-$0.127 level, would indicate a shift between long-term bearish or bullish trends.
Kevin’s chart depicts Dogecoin barely above the convergence of the green 0.382 Fibonacci retracement ($0.13778), the upper limit of a descending trend line in place since May 2021, and the weekly 200 SMA and EMA. He had earlier asserted that the weekly 200 SMA and EMA, alongside the macro .382 and the downtrending support, are crucial holds for Dogecoin. Below these lies a horizontal “line in the sand” at $0.143-$0.127.
The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) paints a similarly concentrated picture. Kevin has marked a white band just above the 40-line; the yellow RSI profile has now hit this band five times. Each hit coincided with a price trough circled in orange.
The chart also outlines a series of Fibonacci checkpoints and potential bull run targets. However, Kevin stresses that the current support cluster’s maintenance is a prerequisite for any higher-time-frame bullish thesis.
In a follow-up, Kevin examined the broader digital asset scene. “The most significant moves for #Altcoins are yet to happen,” he claimed, linking potential break-outs to macro-economic easing. The key takeaway from Kevin’s analysis is to observe the weekly RSI band and the $0.143-$0.127 price shelf. As long as these hold, there’s no need for a structural bias revision, regardless of the influx of Dogecoin commentary.
As of press time, DOGE was trading at $0.172.
