As per recent reports, Bitcoin encountered a significant dip earlier this month, plummeting to a low of $74,000. This drop was primarily due to the escalating international tariff war. However, the digital currency has seen a steady revival, now standing above $85,000 following a 10% increase over the past week. This surge is largely attributed to President Trump’s decision to pause tariffs for 90 days for all countries, except China. This move has alleviated market apprehensions, reinvigorating both equity and digital asset markets.
In the face of Bitcoin’s upward trend, a fresh analysis by CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost reveals that large investors, or ‘whales’, on Binance—one of the most active cryptocurrency exchanges—are adopting a careful, yet notably non-reactive, strategy in response to macroeconomic uncertainty.
Darkfost’s post, titled “How Are Binance Whales Responding to Market Uncertainty?” meticulously examines crucial on-chain metrics. The study identifies two main indicators that depict the changing behavior of Binance whales. The Exchange Whale Ratio (EWR) is the first, which compares the top 10 inflows to total inflows on Binance to assess whale involvement.
An ascending 365-day moving average (DMA) for the EWR signifies an increasing concentration of inflows from large investors over time, suggesting their heightened influence during long-term trends. However, a recent decrease in the 30DMA indicates diminished short-term activity, hinting that whales might be refraining from active trading, neither selling aggressively nor showing panic signs.
The second metric, Whale to Exchange Flow, scrutinizes the value of whale inflows to Binance over a 30-day period. Here too, the trend is downward—dropping by over $3 billion, reflecting similar drawdowns observed during past corrections in 2024. Combined, these indicators imply that Binance whales prefer to hold their positions instead of selling in the current market scenario, potentially indicating confidence in long-term prospects despite the prevailing uncertainty.
In a related CryptoQuant post, analyst Mignolet underlines a continuous trend of buying strength on Binance. According to the analyst, the market buy ratio—an indicator that tracks the volume of market buy orders—has not just remained steady but has also recently exceeded previous peaks. This trend underscores consistent demand despite recent market corrections and fluctuations.
A sustained increase in the buy ratio has historically preceded medium-term rallies, although a new trend’s confirmation will necessitate both price action and volume metrics’ follow-through. The recurring nature of this pattern implies that robust buyer strength persists despite macroeconomic influences, such as trade policies and regulatory changes, affecting sentiment.
