AI-driven crypto agents are tracing a predictable path reminiscent of the initial rise, fall, and resurgence of projects during the ICO era. Early blockchain initiatives prospered on hype before maturing into sustainable ecosystems, and the current wave of AI agent projects is experiencing rapid market fluctuations. According to a recent report by HTX Ventures and HTX Research, investors are becoming wary as the sector becomes more competitive, liquidity spreads, and many projects struggle to establish clear use cases. However, as the sector moves beyond its speculative phase, AI-driven crypto agents are projected to develop stable business models backed by real utility.
The introductory wave of crypto agent projects in 2024 was fueled by indiscriminate excitement for AI projects. Following a $50,000 Bitcoin donation by Marc Andreessen in October 2024 and the success of token launchpads earlier in the year, numerous AI agent projects joined the space in Q1 of 2024, leading to a rapid dilution of liquidity by Q1 of 2025. As with any nascent sector, initial hype didn’t always equate to lasting viability, leading to a subsequent cool-down period in the crypto AI agent sector.
The market segment is now transitioning into a more mature phase, with the emphasis shifting from speculative hype to revenue generation and product performance. The successful projects in this evolving landscape will be those that can generate reliable revenue, cover the costs of operating AI models, and provide real value to both users and investors.
AI agent applications stress the practical implementation and commercialization of this technology, specifically in fields like automated trading, asset management, market analysis, and crosschain interaction. This strategy aligns with multi-agent systems and decentralized finance + AI (DeFAI) initiatives like Hey Anon, GRIFFAIN, and ChainGPT.
A breakthrough in AI agent technology arrived with DeepSeek-R1, an innovation that challenges traditional AI training methods. Unlike previous models, which relied on supervised fine-tuning (SFT) followed by reinforcement learning (RL), DeepSeek-R1 takes a different approach, optimizing entirely through reinforcement learning without an initial supervised phase. This shift has led to significant improvements in reasoning capabilities and adaptability, paving the way for more sophisticated AI-driven crypto agents.
DeepSeek-R1’s pure RL model allows AI agents to learn through trial and error in real-world conditions, dynamically adjusting their strategies based on immediate feedback. This method allows for greater adaptability, making it especially useful for multi-agent AI systems in DeFi, where real-time market fluctuations require agents to make autonomous, data-driven decisions. These agents adapt quickly to market fluctuations, ensuring more efficient capital deployment.
Launched in late November 2024, iDEGEN is the first crypto AI agent built on DeepSeek R1. This integration of DeepSeek’s R1 model emphasizes how crypto AI agents can inherit such enhanced reasoning capabilities, competing with other established AI models at a fraction of the cost. This shift toward RL-powered, multi-agent AI in DeFi automation underscores why closed-source AI models (such as OpenAI’s GPT-based systems) are becoming an unsustainable expense.
The key to longevity in this sector lies in continuous innovation, adaptability and cost efficiency. Open-source AI models like DeepSeek-R1 are lowering the barriers to entry, allowing blockchain-native startups to develop specialized AI solutions. The ICO era of crypto agents is evolving, and the next wave of winners will be the ones that can turn innovation into long-term viability.
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